The "fuel car banned sales schedule" taken out of context

“The schedule for the ban on the sale of fuel trucks” sparked a wave of waves, among which were the sounds of sing-down fuel trucks. It seemed that the end of the fuel trucks would come at any time. However, things may not be as serious as the public opinion.

The details of the speeches made by officials of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology are as follows: “Some countries have already established timetables for stopping the production and sales of conventional energy vehicles. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has also started related research and will also formulate a timetable for China with related departments. These measures will surely promote our country. The environment and power for the development of the automotive industry has undergone profound changes."

Therefore, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology only “initiated related research” and neither pointed out when the timetable would be introduced nor revealed any specific implementation measures. Secondly, the term is “traditional energy vehicles” instead of “fuel vehicles”, and the two are not completely identical in content. Moreover, some degree of China is "inspired" by other countries, but it is clear that the national conditions of different countries are different, and their starting point and purpose are also different.

Many of the discussions in the industry today have more or less overlooked these key points. Dong Yang, executive vice president of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, put forward different views on the "fuel sales ban." In a recent article entitled "The Internal Combustion Engine Has Not Obsolete", he pointed out that "the prohibition of sales of fuel vehicles" is a misunderstanding. Electric vehicles are still in the stage of catching up with fuel vehicles, and have not reached the level that fully exceeds the number of fuel vehicles in the future. Within ten years, it will be the phase of coexistence of motor drive and internal combustion engine drive. He also said that the internal combustion engine will not only continue to exist, but also the internal combustion engine technology will further develop.

Regarding the "timetable" proposed by other countries, there are various versions of itself. It is understood that nine countries or regions, including the Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Sweden, India, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and the United States, have identified or are planning to launch a timetable for the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles, but whether the position of each country is true and whether Accurate and questionable.

First, the timetable for each country varies from 2025 to 2040. Second, countries are not completely "forbidding" fuel vehicles in terms of expression, but have reservations. For example, the Netherlands stated that it will “take the first step in the prohibition of the sale of conventional vehicles and diesel vehicles in 2025”, while India stated that “towards a pure electric vehicle country”, California, USA stated that “the sale of traditional fuel vehicles on the market may be banned in 2030. ". By contrast, only the UK’s timetable was proposed by the government’s publicly-developed text, but its statement is simply “the 2040 year’s determination to make every new car ultra-low emission”. In other words, no country has explicitly banned fuel vehicles in the form of laws. It is more about expressing an attitude and remarks.

Compared with countries such as Norway and the Netherlands where the automotive industry has a small foundation and the vehicle ownership is not large, compared with the radical attitude of preparing to ban the sale of fuel vehicles in 2025, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom have adopted policies concerning big auto industry countries. Car giant opposition. Take Germany as an example. At the Frankfurt Auto Show held in Germany recently, heads of major German car companies made clear opposition. Volkswagen CEO Müller said that "for a long time to come, traditional fuel vehicles and new energy vehicles will coexist." He further analyzed that the topic of the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles was related to the forthcoming general election in Germany, and that the ban on the sale of conventional internal combustion engine cars after the election would be quelled.

If Britain, France, Germany, and other countries propose to ban the sale of fuel vehicles, which are plagued with political attitudes, then there is no need for China to follow suit. This is the view of some people in the industry, but China has its own intentions. Chen Qingtai, chairman of the China Electric Vehicles Centennial Association, believes that the timetable for the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles is not important. What matters is the reason behind this. "The proposed timetable is an incentive for pure electric vehicle companies. It is a relentless force for traditional fuel vehicle companies. It will ultimately benefit everyone."

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology officials said in their speeches: “Many countries have adjusted their development strategies one after another, and the new energy and intelligent network industry have accelerated their industrial layout and seized a new round of commanding heights. After years of hard work, China’s automobile industry has formed a relatively complete industrial system. The technological level in these areas is not much different from that in foreign countries, and it already has the technology and conditions to compete with foreign developed countries on the same stage.” In other words, besides the consideration of environmental protection pressure, China considers more to enhance the overall automotive industry. Competitiveness.

China is the world leader in the development of new energy vehicles. Currently, it has promoted more than 1 million vehicles and occupied 50% of the world. The timetable for development is actually driving the development of new energy vehicles. For the same purpose, China has already started issuing "restrictions" on fuel vehicles. In July this year, the State Council made the decision to “in principle no longer approve the construction of a new traditional fuel vehicle production enterprise”.

At present, most of the discussions in the industry on the ban on the sale of fuel trucks are based on the recognition that they will be launched soon. However, it is still unknown whether this timetable will eventually come out. On September 27, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) website officially announced that it had officially passed the "Measures for the concurrent management of the average fuel consumption of enterprises and new energy vehicle points," namely the "double-integration" policy, which will be implemented on April 1, 2018. This is more than in the industry. The reason for the delay in the forecast is precisely because domestic auto makers are not ready yet.